Saturday, January 9, 2021

Why It's Different This Time


Having entertained myself watching the endless farce that is politics since about 1955, I've notices some things that never seemed to change. First off is the nature of the parties. The Republicans believe in minimal government, so when they are in they tend to leave us alone.

We'll call this phase one. This causes prosperity. Everyone gets a job, or starts a business, and makes money. This creates a demand for workers with the largest numbers at the bottom of the ladder, about where you'd expect things to start.

Next comes phase 2: This creates a problem, or so we're told. All those people at the bottom of the ladder need to be pushed up it, rather than letting them climb or fall according to their abilities. Or so the Democrats tell us. Tugging at our collective heartstrings, they loudly advocate for the poor, demanding that the very richest chip in a small part of their ill-gotten gains to help the less fortunate. This works, and they get elected, frequently in large numbers.

Now comes phase 3. Inevitably, they over reach. Regulate this, ban that, basically put the hobnailed boot of government on the throat of the public, driving small businesses out of business in favor of their model of One Big Business with government sitting on the BOD. The public notices this and usually, we next move to phase 4.

This happens, in general, after 2 years of a Dem trifecta. 1994 comes to mind. The Big Over Reach results in the Big Backlash, and the Reps take over one or both of the legislative houses, putting the brakes on the Dems. The result of this is to keep the Dem President from looking like an economic buffoon, and gets him re-elected on the premise that the economy is improving. Which it is, though not due to anything he's doing. Of course the Reps have to be on their toes here lest the damage abatement from the opposition legislature be ascribed to the Dem president. Usually people figure this out and the improved economy is eventually ascribed to the legislature, and a Rep president is elected.

This trick works both ways though, and Republican prosperity is used to call for a return to punishing the successful and rewarding the laggards. Now we're back to phase 1.

This time I believe is different. The Dems have discovered that to win elections you only have to win over 1 vote, which currently is Eric Coomer of Dominion, maker of the vote counting machines. It appears that these machines can be tuned to produce any results desired all by themselves, or set to allow operators to “adjust” ballots as they go along. This can speed up the process for stage 2, and eliminate the problems causing Stage 3. Over reach is no longer sufficient to get them run out of office, and after a couple of elections, the Republicans get the feeling that their state or country has been over run with Democrats and they can never vote them out no matter how bad a job they do, thus discouraging turnout.

The system works well, but you have to be careful. Simply adding ballots to the total will work up to a point, and having more votes cast than you have registered voters can be explained away by pointing to same day registrations, which no one seems to check post election to see if this is what actually happened. There is another safeguard which is comparing the number of people who voted to the total number of votes. A pretty strong case for fraud can be made if there's a significant discrepancy here, but so far doing this has never been a standard practice. Given the number of people voting and the number and varying types of ballots cast, it wouldn't surprise me a bit to see the numbers not match, but not by very much. Pennsylvania had a discrepancy of some 200,000 more votes cast than voters casting votes. About 4 times the margin of victory and way over anyones expectations. This is still being looked in to but Mr. Biden will be well into his term before any conclusions get drawn. 5 other states also had this issue, with enough electoral votes to swing the election. Again it's being looked in to. What if, by 2022, it is concluded that Biden was fraudulently elected? So what?

The Dem majorities in the legislature are very thin, and phase 3 says Biden should take a beating in both houses due to incompetence and over reach. 2020 was won by focusing on the presidential end of the ticket. The Senate was taken by being able to focus on only 2 races, in a state that already used compromised Dominion machines. By 2022, all the software in the Dominion machines will have been updated so as to allow a technician with a thumb drive, or maybe just a technician with an internet connection to make the necessary adjustments to the machines. Unless legislation is passed in all the states requiring a forensic audit of the machines following any election with said machines placed in quarantine when the polls close, I predict a great Dem sweep of the legislature.

Since this requires effort on the part of legislators I have no great hopes of seeing this happen. In states where the Dems control the legislatures, I have no expectation it will happen at all.

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