I'm still convinced it's related to the sudden upswing in gun sales our Feckless Bleater set of by getting reelected last year. Here's the latest on NICS checks:
We may assume that sales are now down to something near a normal rate for this time of the year and accompanying ammo demand is also back to somewhere near normal so production now has a chance to catch up. Hopefully this can be done before the Nov-Dec buying season causes ammo demand to begin climbing again.
Update: So
NSSF, which is the industry representative, suggests that 71% is the markdown factor to separate CCW, job, and other reasons for getting a background check. This implies that the projected 21M background checks for 2013 will translate into 14.91M firearm sales for this year.
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I am told that one retailer, at least, still buys for the rate that ammo sold a year ago.
Of course, selling meager amounts from near-empty shelves might tend to skew the procurement process.
Now, we face not only increase ammo needs for concealed carry classes and more applications, but the long spate of empty shelves convinces more people they need to keep a generous supply on their own shelves.
Not to mention the scalpers keeping expectations of high prices alive in the community. "Hey, if they are going for 2-3X price at the flea market, they must still be scarce! Gotta get some!"
If we could just get Homeland Security and BATFE disbanded, and the ammo crunch all caught up, I figure the next President will have a nicely secure nation behind her/him.
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