With Romney gaining at 7 pts/3 mos, and O'bama declining at 3 points/3mo. by the election the margin will be Romney 64, O'b 37. Yeah I know it doesn't add up to 100%, it's an approximation. Interesting thought, though.
Sunday, May 13, 2012
Presidential Polls
With 6 months to go before the elections, practically anything can happen, but this graphic from Rasmussen is interesting.
2 things to note: first the general trend, which has Obama drifting downward and Romney slowly climbing, and second the general jumpyness of the curves. The relative performance of the candidates seems to depend on the day of the week on which the poll was taken.
With Romney gaining at 7 pts/3 mos, and O'bama declining at 3 points/3mo. by the election the margin will be Romney 64, O'b 37. Yeah I know it doesn't add up to 100%, it's an approximation. Interesting thought, though.
With Romney gaining at 7 pts/3 mos, and O'bama declining at 3 points/3mo. by the election the margin will be Romney 64, O'b 37. Yeah I know it doesn't add up to 100%, it's an approximation. Interesting thought, though.
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I am reminded of a letter I saw in the paper here in Casper in the 2000 election. There had been an article suggesting that the Democrats had a chance in Wyoming in that election. A letter to the editor appeared the next day suggesting that the writer get real, and claiming that the Republicans could nominate Porky Pig and they'd still take Wyoming 2 to 1. I have since seen no reason to question this claim...
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