Wednesday, April 23, 2008

The Penn Primary

The results are in, and I have to wonder about Rush Limbaugh's Operation Chaos. He claims to have gotten some large number of Republicans to switch their party affiliation and vote for Hillary to give her the boost she needs to come into Denver and turn the convention into a proper mud fight.
According to the WSJ this morning, 9% of the voters yesterday were recent converts to the Dem party, and they split pretty much 60/40 in favor of Obama. This says that new converts gave Hill 4 percentage points, and Obama got 5. This is neither decisive, nor falling in the direction Rush predicted.
I going to have to say that Obama shot himself in the foot with his derisive comments about "bitter" folks, and here's the result. The Dems are quite capable of self-destruction without any help from the right.
Remember the prime directive when dealing with conspiracies: Never attribute to conspiracy that which can be easily explained by simple stupidity.

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