I've commented before on polling and how much weight to ascribe to them this far in advance of the elections, but occasionally, some actual data slips out. The
Miami Harald is reporting that Sarah Palin is now within 5 points of the president among voters, which is moderately interesting, considering that she's not even a declared candidate.
Far more interesting is the one-line note a few paragraphs in to the article:
By a margin of 49 percent to 36 percent, voters said they definitely plan to vote against Obama, according to the poll. Independents by 53 percent to 28 percent said they definitely plan to vote against him.
If someone is polled over the phone, as I was last night, the questions run to "Do you plan to vote for the president?" yes or no. "If Sarah Palin was the Republican candidate, would you vote for her?" yes or no. The pollee, expecting the next question to be about his or her favorite candidate, may say no, only to find that Palin was the only Republican example to choose from, and you didn't vote for her.
I stand by my position that Obama would lose to an old yellow dog at this point, as long as the dog didn't apologize for anything, and was photographed lifting a leg on the New York Times building. When you're losing 49-36 against nobody, the opposition is going to have to run a pretty skanky candidate to keep you in office.
"Dog 2012: A leg Up On The Democrats"
Makes a nice bumper sticker too.
3 comments:
Oh, Billll, you just had to go and do it, didn't you?
As if the Republicans actually *need* a challenge to goof as badly as putting up Dole, or McCain. Now they will have to beat the bushes for that candidate old enough, and stood in line long enough, that he fits the old, white guy image they so ardently strive for.
You could have held your peace on that challenge, but, no-o-o-o-o!
Heavy *sigh*
And as a bonus, the dog arguably creates "shovel ready jobs" at least once a day. Sometimes twice.
Billll,
We laugh. While living in Colorado Springs, I worked with a guy that hired a service to pick up the "dots" in the back yard.
This same gentleman was incensed that his daughter had to attend school in the district they lived in, rather than the better district nearby. When I asked why he didn't move to the district with better schools . . the taxes were too high. *sigh*
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